Category Archives: Stock Market Update

Can the Market Go Lower?

Can the Market Go Lower?

Stock market update for swing traders.

The stock market broke downward last week and it was no surprise. More downward movement is most likely for this week..

Warning – stocks are risky investments. Consult with a professional advisor and learn about the risks of trading before making a decision involving stocks and other markets.

Stock Market Update | Short Term Swing Traders

Align your trades to the short side (at least for the beginning of the week). Look for weak rallies to find entry as price starts down again.

Look for swing trading signals to be posted to catch these trades as per the rubber band swing trading strategy.

>>Swing trading signals and set -ups are posted here.<<

Stock Market Update | Medium Term Swing Traders

By now you should be stopped out of most long-side trade positions. Avoid growth stocks. A dropping tide lowers all boats.

Stock Market Update | Long Term Swing Traders and Investors

Stock market price continues to trade below the 200-day moving average. Long term traders should avoid stocks. Very long term savers should consider periodic accumulation for dollar cost averaging.

Where is the stock market going from here?

Where is the stock market going from here?

Stock market update for swing traders.

The stock market mostly saw sideways movement last week (again). A breakdown in price with a sharp sell-off is possible for next week.

Warning – stocks are risky investments. Consult with a professional advisor and learn about the risks of trading before making a decision involving stocks and other markets.

Stock Market Update | Short Term Swing Traders

stock market updateExpect continued sideways movement and a possible sell-off. Be prepared to trade appropriately as dependent as to the action that commences. Don’t trust Mondays.

If price ejects downward below last week’s low price, take trades that set up to the short side through the remainder of the week. If price does not break this support, be prepared for more choppy action that might be difficult to trade.

Click the chart to enlarge.

Stock Market Update | Medium Term Swing Traders

Be ready to abandon long-sided trade positions if price broad stock market action breaks support. If price remains range-bound, consider selling short term options against your positions for the added income.

Stock Market Update | Long Term Swing Traders and Investors

Stock market price continues to trade below the 200-day moving average. Long term traders should avoid stocks. Very long term savers should consider periodic accumulation for dollar cost averaging.

Stock Market Update for Swing Traders and Investors

Stock Market Update for Swing Traders and Investors

Powerful swing trading strategy for traders who wish to always trade with the trend and enjoy a high percent win. Losing swing traders can start here to change results and find consistent profits in today’s tough markets.

Warning – stocks are risky investments. Consult with a professional advisor and learn about the risks of trading before making a decision involving stocks and other markets.

Sure enough as predicted it was a tough week to trade last week, with stock prices whip-sawing back and forth each day as price trades in a medium-termed symmetrical triangle. We may see another week of directionless price movement, though each day may be volatile in itself. In other words, the stock market will likely move a lot but not really go anywhere. Take small positions in the coming week until a clear signal develops.

Stock Market Update for Short Term Swing Traders

stock market update SPY triangleShort term swing traders should stand back a bit and allow price to show us which way to trade. Observe the chart to the right (click to enlarge). Price has jumped back and forth every day or two but does not really get anywhere – frustrating many trades and taking out stops. Take things easy.  There is no reason for your account value to get chopped into oblivion. Wait until the triangle is broken for clues in which way to trade and then pounce on a few trades in that direction when it breaks. Look for a pullback toward the extreme of the triangle and then pounce again when price resumes in the direction of any breakout.

Stock Market Update for Medium Term Position Traders and Swing Traders

In the medium term stocks have been moving up, but are now approaching sideways movement. Still, we have the green light to remain long in our growth stock trades. If you have set-ups that you really like go ahead and take them to the long side. Just be sure to set your stop loss cuts and do not be upset if you lose a bit of capital. Risk is what you get paid for in the long run and variance can be brutal – you win some you lose some.

Stock Market Update for Longer Term Traders and Investors

stock market update 200 day moving averageTwo weeks ago price bounces sharply back below its 200-day moving average. At this time price continues to flirt with this average and should eject to either side, bullish or bearish very soon. I would not gamble with a bet in either direction. Dollar cost averages should stand aside and wait for price to head back south. Value investors should not be in the market for the most part until the 200-day moving average is violated – that is to say that stock market prices begin to trade above these averages. Observe the monthly chart of the SPY and the 200-day moving average. Click to enlarge.

Stock Market Update for Swing Traders

Stock Market Update for Swing Traders

Align your swing trading with the stock market and increase your trading profits significantly.

In last week’s stock market update, we were able to catch and really profit from a clear plan – to fade a top at the 200-day moving average. This week offers no such juicy and  low-hanging fruit.

Warning – stocks are risky investments. Consult with a professional advisor and learn about the risks of trading before making a decision involving stocks and other markets.

Stock Market Update For Swing Traders – Short Term

In the short term the broad stock market is moving sideways and gives us little predictive information to work with. Watch out on Monday for fake moves. By Tuesday afternoon the smoke should clear. Look around to see which group of swing traders are frowning and which are smiling – the longs or the shorts. Align your trades for the rest of the week with the group that is smiling.

Stock Market Update – Position swing traders and the medium term

stock market update for swing traders

We have the green light - but is this a top? Click to enlarge.

Another difficult chart on which to make predictions in stock market price movement. Technically, stocks in this medium time frame have been moving up, though the chart might suggest a top forming here. In general price over the last two weeks has been moving a lot but still not going anywhere.

Rather than marrying a direction and getting burned, trade your set-ups as they come, but do so with smaller than average positions and tight stops.

Hedge your positions a bit by selling options and bolster your trading results with the income. If the markets sputter and remain directionless we will benefit from the imploding volatility as well.

Stock Market Update – Long Term Investors

stock market update

Are we just kissing the channel goodbye? Click to enlarge.

Trade your long term plan. Very long term savers and investors should accumulate and dollar cost average accordingly.

Traders that rotate ETFs should probably shy away from being long the stock market, as it bounced sharply off of its 200-day moving average and remains in bearish territory.

It is certainly still possible that stocks can sell off very sharply from here. Proceed with caution.

Stock Market Update | Are we in a Bull Market?

Stock Market Update | Are we in a Bull Market?

Our weekly stock market update is designed to help real traders increase their profits significantly.

Stock Market Updates are for speculation discussion only. Please see the SEC website for information about the risks of investing in stocks and consult with your advisor before buying stocks.

Stock Market Update | Short Term

The stock market has been in a screaming up-trend lately. Now, I would not suggest that you jump in front of any speeding freight trains, but I would suggest being ready to get short when such entry presents itself. The short term stock market is well overbought on many indicators and just ran vertically into the 200-day moving average. I will include some swing trading set-ups for short term traders that might help us find these short sale opportunities as they appear. >>Free Swing Trading Signals<<

Stock Market Update | Intermediate Term

stock market updateJust like the shorter term, position traders have enjoyed an exceptionally strong stock market. Price is also very overbought in this trading  time frame. Click to observe the weekly chart to the right. We can see that price has been screaming northward and has penetrated the 200-day moving average. Even the daily chart shows price well above it’s upper bands and other overbought indicators. This might be a good time to take some profits on your longs from the last two weeks. Spend some time seeking out good growth prospects and demanding good entry points for them.

Stock Market Update | Long Term Traders and Investors

The long term stock market is at an inflection point. I would expect to see some consolidation and sideways movement from here. It is where price ejects from there that the market will give away its likely future intentions. If you are a long term investor with money waiting on the sidelines and are looking for an entry point, I would suggest waiting for consolidation  and then buying a breakout.

Stock Market Update | Where is the market going from here?

Stock Market Update

Where is the market going from here?

Stock Market Update | Short Term Swing Traders

Short term tradrs should align their trades to the long side. Use caution not to chase trade entry in case stocks fall into sideways mode prior to further bullish action. There are always pullbacks. Demand good entry.

Stock Market Update | Medium Term Traders

stock market updateLonger term swing traders and position traders who hold stocks from 1-6 weeks should have a bullish outlook. Look to go long growth leaders and trade the strongest sectors. Large cap stock trades with far out of the money covered calls for extra income are also a great call. The weekly chart clearly shows an uptrend in this time frame. Click the chart to enlarge.

Stock Market Update | Long Term Traders and Investors

The stock market in your time frame is moving sideways and not showing a clear trend. Investors do not yet have the green light to buy and hold their favorite value stocks as broad prices are still trading below their 200-day moving averages. Pullbacks to down trends and bear market rallies can be very convincing, but there is no protection to the downside here. Be patient and wait for the real long term uptrend.

The stock market update is useful to increase trading and investing profits, but do your own research and consult with an advisor about the risks of stock investing prior to committing investment capital.

Stock Market Update | This could be the bottom!

Stock Market Update | This could be the bottom!

The primary trend has changed from down to sideways and the intermediate trend has changed to up for the first time since last July.

Please do your own research and learn the risks of stock investing before committing money to stocks.

stock market update bottomStock Market Update | Short Term Trend

In the short term the stock market is in an uptrend.

If you are a swing trader who trades in the one to three-day time frame, align your short term swing trades to the long side to trade with the current trend.

Be nimble, however, as the short-term trend has been going up sharply for days and a dip in the action might come in a violent manner. Keep a close eye on your positions and set hard stop losses.

Stock Market Update | Medium Term

stock market update bullishThere was a significant change in the daily and weekly stock charts last week. Stocks on the daily chart broke out of many types of resistance. On the weekly chart time frame, the stock market has ejected into an uptrend unlike any that we have seen for quite some time. Longer term swing traders and position traders should seek out the market leaders and place long trades accordingly.

Stock Market Update | Long Term

The monthly chart of the stock market shows sideways action – which is quite a relief following a four month down trend. Stocks are still below the 200-day moving average so we are not bullish yet, but this is how bottoms tend to form in stock charts.

Stock Market Update | The Down Trend Continues

Stock Market Update | The Down Trend Continues

The broad stock market continues its down trend.

Stock market update for short term swing traders

stock market update short termVery short term traders are at a very interesting place at the moment. The daily chart shows shows a slowing up-trend and strong resistance. Price may reverse here and start down again or erupt into a strong rally for the week. My advice is to wait until Tuesday about an hour after the open. Picture yourself in the trading pits looking at peoples faces. There will be both long and short players. Figure out who is smiling and who is stressed out and trade the rest of the week in the direction of those smiling. Do not trust Monday’s action, though, as this is a classic place for a fakie.

Stock market update for medium term swing and position traders

Stocks are still mostly moving sideways and slightly down. Be wary of growths stock and small cap growth stock trades and the like. These trade types do best in bull markets, not sideways, bear, or unsure markets. It’s OK to be long a few high relative strength stocks and to be short a few of the opposite. Make sure not to be stubborn or loaded up in any particular direction.

Stock market update for long term traders

stock market update weekly chartWe are definitely in a classic downtrend and there is no reason to think it will find its bottom here. The weekly chart of the SPY confirms that we certainly still have the red light.

Stock market update for very long term investors

When investing in stocks for 20 years+, any down market is a buying and dollar cost averaging opportunity. Enter stocks in your 401K etc aggressively at this point but in intervals. If the stock market continues down you want some money left over to keep accumulating.

Down From Here | Stock Market Update

Heading Down From Here | Stock Market Update

stock market update short termIn the very short term, the stock market is in a down trend. Swing traders should align their trades to the short term.

Position and longer term swing traders should be fairly neutral, as stocks have been moving sideways in these time frames.

Regardless of the sideways movement, price has been congesting at the bottom of the range as the triangle comes to an apex. This is often a predictor of a very bearish future.

long term stock market updateThe primary trend of the stock market is down. Long term traders and investors should look to avoid stocks, except to accumulate very long term savings (mostly younger investors).

Please check with a financial advisor prior to investing in stocks and other markets.

Stock Market Update | Head Fake, and Back in a Range

Stock Market Update | Head Fake, and Back in a Range

stock market update head fakeThe stock market seems to have pulled a “fakie”, breaking out to the downside only to snap back into it’s 2-month long trading range. How do we trade this odd pattern?

Short term swing traders

Clearly the trend is up. Align short term trades to the long side.

Position and long term swing traders

stock market update for swing tradersOnce again the average casual trader finds him or herself in no-man’s land. Stocks are trading in a sideways range with no trend and will be difficult to trade. Consider shorter time frames until the medium trend becomes clear.

Long term traders and investors

Stocks are in a primary downtrend. Avoid bullish strategies and maintain reduced exposure to stocks.